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3). 21 percentage points overall. 59 %. However, if we deduct the base effect, the overall net growth effect is not very positive. , depreciate 13 % until the end of 2016), it may help increase net exports, which will have a positive impact on the overall economy. However, the large-scale capital outflows caused by this rapid depreciation would put pressure on already declining investments, which would have a greater negative impact on the overall economy. Thus, the consequences of indulging a depreciation policy may do more harm than good.

GDP will both grow and decline during the forecast period (see Fig. 3). 21 percentage points overall. 59 %. However, if we deduct the base effect, the overall net growth effect is not very positive. , depreciate 13 % until the end of 2016), it may help increase net exports, which will have a positive impact on the overall economy. However, the large-scale capital outflows caused by this rapid depreciation would put pressure on already declining investments, which would have a greater negative impact on the overall economy.

08 %. 88 %, and the decline will be significantly narrowed. 05 trillion (see Fig. 6). 2 The Growth Rate of Total Fixed Assets The excess capacity in manufacturing, the excessive inventory of the real estate industry, and the debt burdens of corporations will continue to put downward pressure on investment. The CQMM predicts (see Fig. 11 percentage points lower than that in 2015. 09 percentage points higher than that in 2016. 62 %. 79 % in the third quarter. 45 Fig. 6 The growth rate of foreign exchange reserves (year-on-year basis) Fig.

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